Fox News chief political analyst Brit Hume on Wednesday suggested Republicans would definitely lose control of the House — and potentially the Senate — if the 2026 midterm elections were held today.

“I think if the election were held today, given in the middle of this conflict, that the House would be obviously gone. And there’s a good chance that the Senate would go, too,” Hume said on “Special Report with Bret Baier.”

Much will depend on how Donald Trump’s war on Iran unfolds, he said

“I think people are concerned about the economy and the Republicans are likely to pay a price for that,” said Hume.

He continued:

“There’s some hope I think among Republicans that if we get a successful outcome of this war in Iran … that the gasoline prices and other fuel prices will come down, people will feel better about the economy, that the Trump program will bring about some strengthening growth, that some of the measures he’s taken in terms of taxes and regulation will pay off, and that they’ll have a chance of doing well in the midterms.”

Hume described the House as “a long shot” anyway for Republicans, noting their narrow margin of control and the historical trend of the party in power losing seats during a new president’s first term.

The outcome of the war in Iran, he said, is key.

“If it turns out well, I think the president would have a lot to run on, and the party would swing behind that because they’ve been behind this war,” said Hume. “If it turns out in a way that is unconvincing to people that it was worth it, woe be unto the Republicans.”

Watch Hume’s analysis here:

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